28/3/2020 Tips for horse racing and best betting – Rosehill, Tancred Stakes Day

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The Rosehill portion of the Autumn Carnival in Sydney ends this Saturday with a Group I double header, the Drawcard, the Tancred Stakes (2400m) and the Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m). The weather is good, the route is good (4) and the track is six meters along the entire route.

Field 🏆: Look at the field for the Tancred Stakes

Field 🏆: See the field for the Vinery Stud Stakes

Race 1. (12:30) Ranvet (bm88) 1400 m

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I want to give 12 sausage (Bet now: $ 6.50 TOP ODDS) another chance. Matty Dale trains this mare, who was the first to stand out in defeat in the National Sprint Preview, which ensured that she was the favorite in the big race during the Carnival in Canberra, and I thought she had every chance, but if I did once I look, I don’t think she’s going to allow it on wet ground. She can jump back on the track, especially with the foot turn she has.

Caution

10 Royal celebration (Bet now: $ 3.20 TOP ODDS) drives really well for Ron Quinton. The problem is that he can’t crack it to win. I ran here over 1350 m two weeks ago as I approached the speed and tried very hard, but was not too late for the winner Positive Peace, who is currently flying. He knocks on the door and gets a great chance.

Long shot

3 hangers (Bet now: $ 14.00 TOP ODDS) descends, but it has some advantages that one would assume. Was only second in the Echuca Cup last time and although he was flat in the sprint, he shot late and shot hard to get the win. Receives Avdulla after a good tie and is definitely a chance to win.

Race 2. (13:10) The Schweppervescence 1400m

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Fitter and a climb to 1400 m are two big ticks for the filly trained by David Payne 9 Jemss (Bet now: $ 12.00 TOP ODDS). Resumed in Magic Night two weeks ago and really liked how she ended her race from behind when she was just ahead of Thermosphere. From day one she looks like a two-year-old who will appreciate the more soil she gets here and who is in the right stable.

Caution

3 Holyfield (Bet now: $ 14.00 TOP ODDS) is a colt by Maher / Eustace who looks suitable here. Won 2/2 to start his career before going to the VRC Sires, where he was one who was part of the slaughter halfway there. Was he well enough to win? I would say no, but should have come closer. Gets a soft draw and Aussie Tom rides.

Long shot

10 Argentus (Bet now: $ 17.00 TOP ODDS) is worth another look. Was well defeated in the debut behind Mamaragan before going to Pago Pago when he had no cover for the trip and never managed the wet stretch behind Prague. Is getting firmer here, which in my opinion really suits him, and up to 1400 m he sees a knockout chance after the debut.

Race 3. (1:50 pm) Tulloch Stakes 2000m

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1 Fast thinker (Bet now: $ 2.40 TOP ODDS) is the interesting thing. I thought he was really poor in two runs in New Zealand to start preparing before going to Phar Lap, where he competed against a couple of Star filly in Funstar and Probabeel, and was far from behind these two noble animals To become third. Like him up to 2000m and the depth here is nowhere near as strong.

Caution

I’m curious to see if 6 Pride of Adelaide (Bet now: $ 6.00 TOP ODDS) can measure here. Nathan Doyle places his horses superbly, but there is no place to hide with this three-year-old who was just too good for them in the provincials. He last saw him in Hawkesbury. It is bred to eat 2000m and overall this is not a strong race.

Long shot

2 Fortress orders (Bet now: $ 9.50 TOP ODDS) promised to be a derby guy from day one. Now he has to get up and prove it. Didn’t really show up in spring, so got a good, long period and got IMO, he just needed the two runs back to get a decent level of fitness. He’s dodged the Rosehill Guineas to tackle the softer option here, and I think he gets terribly close, apart from his 2-year form.

Race 4. (2.30pm) Neville Sellwood Stakes 2000m

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9 Scarlet dream (Bet now: $ 5.50 TOP ODDS) seems to have had a fruitful preparation for Team Hawkes. She was resumed in the anniversary vase in Caulfield two weeks ago and should have won, but didn’t get clear air on the straight, but the ride from Poy was not the best. Love them up to 2000m and from the resumption, must be rated highly here.

Caution

He is a clapper 2 night watch (Bet now: $ 4.60 TOP ODDS) but I think he knocks on the door to win and again on a firmer footing, he can take it out. Comes through the Ajax, where his run behind the image value was okay at first glance, but his split times between 800 and 200 meters were very good and were struck late. Back on the floor, think he can walk well here.

Long shot

11 Cartier’s house (Bet now: $ 21.00 TOP ODDS) can certainly keep up here. Very unfortunate two back in Randwick behind Trumbull before hurtling over 1350m two weeks ago where she came back and worked home late after the dominant winner Positive Peace. I love her up to 2000 m, I think she flies and can run a positive race.

Race 5. (15:10) Star Kingdom is 1200 m

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I think she is flying 6 manicures (Bet now: $ 7.50) and I’m confident that it’s going well here. James Cummings trained this mare who won the How Now as her last preparation and I think she is on the right track to be the first to win again. Two exams were excellent and remember that she did it every time without the blinkers that are on for race day.

Caution

The goal is a potential nightmare, but the setup looks ideal for 4 brave song (Bet now: $ 11.00), who is rightly a noble animal and is taken up again for the Snowden team. Was on the Golden Eagle Path, but he couldn’t quite keep up in the heats while he was going well. He got a good break and despite only one process, he classified the setup here as very dangerous.

Long shot

10 Diplomatico (Bet now: $ 16.00) is the x factor. He was the first to be knocked off his feet at Maurice McCarten, but when he balanced, he really ended on purpose and was excellent in defeat as it was his first run in over 12 months. Second syndrome? Potentially, but if he improves that, it has to be respected.

Race 6th (3:50 pm) Tancred Stakes 2400m

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9 Verry Elleegant (Bet now: $ 2.05) looks like on the form. She was able to relax in her races, much better than is normal for her, and last Saturday she took a seat on the pace without cover and she didn’t overdo it. It was in the ranvet and it took a high-class animal in Addeybb to beat them. Not worried about her on dry ground … a bit worried about the quick backup, failed once in this scenario, but that was when I was a 3 year old in the Oaks where she was a baby. Obviously a better horse, a more relaxed horse.

Caution

2 Mustajeer (Bet now: $ 9.00) has done little wrong since joining Kris Lee. Looked a bit in trouble in Sky High in terrible conditions, but what I liked was that he caught up late and shot well, although Master Of Wine hit him well. I think a firm stand will definitely suit him, and up to 2400 m is a big, big tick if you know that it’s only about his girlfriend.

Long shot

4 South of France (Bet now: $ 13.00) is the knockout opportunity IMO. I was thinking about an unsuitable trip behind Fifty Stars, and of course Regal Power ticked this shape on the All Star Mile. Love him up to 2400m, has head and class.

Race 7th (4:30 pm) Vinery Stud Stakes 2000m

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She always looked like a filly, eats the ground, is bred to deal with the ground … I think only bad luck or a day off sees it 1 Funstar (Bet now: $ 1.75) are beaten. She is a star filly that was outstanding in two runs after a break and was pipped by Probabeel near the pen in the area before taking revenge on this filly in the Phar Lap with a comfortable win. Think it will be too good.

Caution

2 probabeel (Bet now: $ 4.40) is a brilliant filly for Jamie Richards who won the surround excellently before entering the Phar Lap on the bottomless track where she looked 600m away. But what impressed me and most was that it caught up, swayed under the conditions, and tried to get from Funstar within 1.3 liters. 2000m is not a problem for your IMO. Just not sure if she has the brilliance that Funstar has.

Long shot

4 Fascino (Bet now: $ 18.00) seems to be on the right track for this race IMO. Two runs back from a break were good. First up was Stablemate Bonvicini in Vanity before going to Kewney, and she was a real eye-catcher late after Rubisaki. Has had two runs and is now third, should be fit and be interested in running well.

Race 8. (17:10) Emancipation missions 1500m

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If the Coolmore barrel didn’t break it, I think 13 Sweet scandal (Bet now: $ 19.00) is one of the better games of chance on the program. This mare had no luck scoring long goals in this preparation, at least two weeks ago in the Coolmore Classic, and she really did a remarkable job like she did to finish fifth. Back on firm footing and speed, she will take on a punch.

Caution

6 Noire (Bet now: $ 14.00) hasn’t won for Chris Waller for a while, but she’s fine. No luck in Guy Walter two back before she contested the Coolmore Classic, where she worked hard to secure a place in Group I and Con Te Partiro in third place. Save her best for Rosehill and she looks like one of the hardest to beat.

Long shot

14 Positive peace (Bet now: $ 10.00) faces her toughest test yet, but Björn Baker lets this mare fly. She won four straight away, most recently two weeks ago over 1350 m, when she performed on the moor route and gave her rivals a beating. Looks like she’s going to land on speed, get a good run, and have a hard time beating a mare in the shape of her.

Race 9. (17:50) Doncaster Prelude 1500m

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14 dealmaker (Bet now: $ 12.00) is prepared for a good preparation that I feel. Resume at Newmarket in Newcastle, where he was almost last in the race and very much liked the way he finished fourth at Special Reward with a very encouraging return. Love him up to 1500m … is he up to this level? I’m not sure, but the soft gate and head lean in his direction.

Caution

3 Cascadian (Bet now: $ 6.00) knocks on the door to win, and will likely have to win to make sure he starts at Doncaster last Saturday. Well documented what happened in the Liverpool Cup before going to the Ajax two weeks ago where he was close between runners and I think he was annoyed and didn’t want to take the tight run. His best sees him win … is his confidence after the fight two years ago.

Long shot

10 rainbow thief (Bet now: $ 26.00) is the hard opera / in the form of a galloper that increases in degree and depth. I ran the mile in Caulfield two weeks ago, which was pretty much a barrier attempt, so those from the back had no real chance, including this guy. I liked how he ended his race and most of them have a few question marks. He could be the sleeper to watch out for.

BEST BID: Race seven number 1 funstar

NEXT BEST: Race four number 9 Scarlet Dream

LONG SHOT: Race eight number 13 sweet scandal

Quaddie tips (races six to nine):

Leg One: 2, 9

Second stage: 1

Stage three: 6, 8, 10, 13, 14

Fourth stage: 3, 10, 14, 15

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