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The reform of the labour Code could result in a spike of social conflicts

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This Thursday, the CGT called for the fourth time to protest against the orders to reform the labour Code in the process of being ratified by the Parliament. There is little chance that the crowd explodes at this occasion even if the ranks should be provided only on the 19th of October, when the central Philippe Martinez had managed to convince them that Solidarity to accompany him.

labour Force will be in effect officially from the party. The level of participation in the mobilization of 16 November will tell the extent of the exasperation of the activists of the organization Jean-Claude Mailly, of which a part has already paraded though the leader of the FO have hampered the four irons.

Conflict-fall

But in any case, no more the year 2017 as the year 2016 is not expected to equal the record of conflict found in 2010 against the pension reform of Nicolas Sarkozy. This record had been followed in the wake of a historic fall. The ministry of Labour has recorded seven years ago to 3.3 % of companies who have declared a day of strike and 318 days of strike per 1,000 employees. The following year, the rate was divided by almost two, and the number of days has dropped by 80 %. In 2015, the latest year known, the conflict has further declined to 1.3% and 69 days.

Trading rhymes with conflict

Despite this context, the executive has no interest to declare victory too soon because the sequel is not written. The reform should lead to a wave of negotiations, and bargaining is synonymous with conflict. This is what shows a study published in early 2017 by the ministry of Labour, which finds that in 2014, ” 75% of companies declaring a strike had started negotiations against 13 % of those who have mentioned no “. the ” Among the companies who have negotiated in 2014 on a theme at least, 87 % of those who declared a strike, at least, have concluded an agreement “, is also specified.

The negotiation is always a balance of power. This is not a coincidence that, at the turn of the years 2000, the 35 hours have given rise to a record of agreements, setting up a sustainable negotiation in the landscape, and a surge of conflict.

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