The latest survey for the Regional Daily Press confirms the extreme difficulty of knowing which of the four main candidates will be able to pass the first round. Compared to Wednesday, this tightens up a little. Macron (-1) is equal with The Pen (=) 23 % of intention of vote. This final survey was conducted this Thursday 20 and Friday 21 April, in part after l’deadly attack on the Champs-Elysées.
Behind for the first time according to BVA, Jean-Luc Mélenchon seems to be taking a little influence on François Fillon. The candidate of France Insubordinate expanded by 0.5 (19.5 per cent), while François Fillon does not move from its 19 %. But given the margins of error, it is impossible to determine with certainty who will succeed in attaching themselves to the few thousand votes needed to take over.
The hypothesis Macron compared The Pen is more likely, but we are not immune to a surprise Sunday evening. Estimates that may be a little wait due to the closure of the later offices of vote (19 h) and of the extreme indecisiveness of the electorate. There are still 29 % have not decided who to vote for, a level not reached within three days of the vote.